Trump: HGH For An Insurgency

As predicted in this very forum back in June, the rise of Donald Trump has been many things, not the least of which is Best President Candidateentertaining.  Hurricane Donald has had massive success shining a 100,000 lumen spotlight on the serious rift within the Republican Party as well as tightly winding the mainstream media’s undies.  Two satisfying outcomes for this American.  But those are far from his only accomplishments, one unintended consequence has also come with the rise of Trump.

By Professor Liberty Mize, a contributing author of SHTFBlog

He has inadvertently laid the groundwork for a legitimate independent run this Best Presidential CandidateNovember.  Shockingly that ticket will not be headlined by Trump himself.  Consider the following hypothetical.  If we enter late April and Trump still has a stranglehold on the Republican nomination (still a massive if), and if Hillary is indicted (a shockingly less unlikely if), the vast majority of voters in this electorate will find themselves without a candidate.  This is based on high negatives for each of the aforementioned major party alternatives.

Also Read: Comb Over Chaos

This will force a “none of the above” wave that this country hasn’t seen since Richard Pryor ran for Mayor in Brewster’s Millions.  Combine that atmosphere with ballot access rules that allow independent candidates the ability to defer a decision until late spring/early summer and things could get interesting.

How can we be sure? 

Consider the candidacy of Jesse Ventura and Arnold Schwarzenegger.  While the circumstances surrounding their rise to office best presidential candidateare nuanced, three key thing fueled both:

1.    The ability to get on the ballot without facing a legitimate primary
2.    A fundamental dislike by voters of the other candidates  (The recall of an incumbent in Arnold’s case)
3.    A fiscally conservative, but socially liberal message

Together these three things allowed each to beat a path to the sweet spot of American politics. Polls show that the majority of Americans are fiscally conservative and laissez-faire on social issues.  Yet today these people have no outlet.  You can’t support abortion and sniff a republican primary, and you can’t tout free markets and economic reason and capture the fancy of democrats.  By carefully spinning those into a platform a candidate could re-configure the electoral map and be competitive in every state.

So Why Don’t More Independents Run? 

Because to run is a fool’s errand.  In national elections roughly 40% of the people will vote for their party regardless of the nominee.  So even if you capture the vast middle, you are still short on votes taken by the major party nominees.  That is unless the base actually hates their nominee or that nominee was recently led away in leg irons.

The Perfect Storm

Therefore we have the perfect storm.  Pissed voters, crappy nominees and a real mess to clean up in DC.  It is a formula that has Mayor Bloomberg, Jim Webb and even Joe Biden putting out feelers and seriously considering an insurgency.  Bloomberg’s ability to self-fund means he could be a particularly serious player.  Elections are expensive and party infrastructure and influence are key to fundraising and building a successful organization.  None of this applies to him.  Bloomberg need only crack his piggy bank and shake out a few hundred million bucks and he could be in business.  The others face longer odds, and there may be others considering a run that have yet to surface.  Could someone Ross Perot their way to a legitimate shot at the white house?  Stranger things have happened, and if anyone has those ambitions this is certainly the year to try.

The Bottom Line

Again the above is based on hypotheticals.  Hillary’s indictment could very well be squashed by the justice department or be Trump for Presidentspun as a right-wing conspiracy, but I wouldn’t bet on it.  The FBI doesn’t mess around and reportedly has 100s of agents on the case and the evidence is overwhelming.  If the justice department fails to indict they could go public and either force Obama’s hand, or just destroy Hillary.

On the Republican side Trump is also far from home free.  Cruz will likely win Iowa, Trump will win New Hampshire and it is anyone’s guess after that.  But if he sweeps the SEC vote we could very well be headed for Trump as the nominee.  In an era where a populist anti-establishment wave has carried Ron Paul, Trump and even Bernie Sanders to prominence– anything is possible.  Who might be able to tap into that and ride the wave all the way to DC is really anyone’s guess.  Regardless I’ll likely still be endorsing “none of the above”.

The views, opinions and positions expressed by the author are his alone, and do not necessarily reflect the views, opinions or positions of SHTFBlog.com

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15 comments… add one
  • Flat Rascal January 31, 2016, 8:42 pm

    .

    The sad truth is that the entertainment mentality of the populous holds little understanding of world affairs besides the knee-jerk reactions of spoiled children. Trump represents this entertainment class, but if elected, the collateral damage of the rich but uneducated will crash worlds together for fun.

    Unfortunately the other countries on this small planet don’t have time for the US to fool around with stupid dog tricks. If you want a easy life, then you have to trust the experts, not disqualify them because they are boring.

    .

    Reply
    • Monty Brewster February 1, 2016, 10:36 am

      Exactly. Anger and swagger are buoying Trump, but the policy and substance are simply missing. Americans love celebs and Hollywood, but don’t have time or interest in hearing how any of this might get done.

      A wall funded by Mexico
      Iran cowering in fear and abandoning nuclear ambitions
      A rising tide of economic growth

      All sound great to me too, I have yet to hear HOW he’d do any of it. Because there is no how, only empty rhetoric and a reality TV star playing a role. Wake the F up. This isn’t the Bachelor, this is our country.

      Reply
  • Pineslayer February 1, 2016, 10:55 am

    Everyone please look at Gary Johnson. Listen to what he is saying and what he has done. If we put another Dem or Rep in the White House, may God have mercy on us, because we will receive none from the 2 ruling parties.

    Reply
    • Lance February 19, 2016, 12:26 am

      Ted Cruz is the closest thing to a libertarian running, the libertarian party will not get anywhere because of the lack of ability to stand together.

      Reply
  • Ray February 1, 2016, 11:14 am

    Look up a guy name “Hughie” P. Long (AKA Da Kingfish). Gov. of Louisiana in the 1930’s Who ALMOST beat FDR for president. Till somebody shot him to death in the state house. His motto: ” A chicken in every pot and a Chevy car in every mans yard” He also said “soak the rich”. He and Trump; are the same, showmen who have (and had) more in common with P.T. Barnum than they do/did with Jefferson. But Trump is one showman, that, barring “assassination” will be the next president. —Ray

    Reply
    • BamaMan February 1, 2016, 1:50 pm

      I got another really good one.

      George Wallace. Governor of Alabama. Stood on steps of Univeristy of Alabama and denied access to black’s until the National Guard walked up and told him to step aside.

      A few years later he is winning the Democratic primary and taking all the minority votes.

      Then he was shot.

      Reply
  • Rick February 1, 2016, 12:58 pm

    I love Trump. Exactly what this country needs. Someone who is not a politician or lawyer with lots of executive experience. I read Ted Cruz’s bio – very weak. Solicitor General for Texas (5 years), Harvard Law School, US Senator (3 years). Seems a lot like Obama’s resume and look where that got us. You can’t even find out much about Ted Cruz’s experience on his website, I had to go to Wikipedia to find out about him. Seems like he knows he is light on experience and trying to hide it. The guy scares me. The rest of the republican field is a mismatch of “me too’s” – I would vote for them if they were the nominee but only to stop Clinton. With regard to Gary Johnson – seems like a good guy but a vote for him is a vote for Hillary. Not on my watch. The guy has no chance of winning.

    Reply
    • Anonymous March 4, 2016, 8:42 pm

      A weak bio? Do more reading.

      Reply
      • Lance March 10, 2016, 3:30 am

        He has a major in constitutional law exactly what we need right now.

        Reply
  • BamaMan February 1, 2016, 1:48 pm

    Why the total negative Trump bias over and over again here? Sure he is not ideal but the bashing starts and ends with him. Its almost like you know people here would like the candidate so you attack. And BTW, Ted Cruz will get smoked. I am a Christain but you have to do more than “preach” and advertize you family to win the nation’s vote.

    Reply
    • Joel February 1, 2016, 4:48 pm

      I like Trump. Bamaman – you write the article, I will publish it.

      Reply
  • JAS February 1, 2016, 3:27 pm

    Beats the hell out of Cruz, who just mailed out flyers to people in Iowa telling them how their neighbors voted for the last 4 elections and scoring them. What ever happened to your votes being personal. I wouldn’t vote for Cruz now on a bet. Maybe next he will think it is a good idea for all of your neighbors to know if you purchase a firearm.

    Reply
  • Anonymous February 2, 2016, 6:08 pm

    Trump is a republican obama. His retoric sounds good to his audience, but lacks detail. Make America great again. Sounds just like hope and change to me.

    Perhaps I’m mistaken. I am watching Trump closely. I much prefer Ted Cruz. Personally I’d like to see a Cruz Gowdey ticket !!

    I would certainly vote Trump over Hilary or sanders that’s not even a question.

    Trump reminds me of a 3rd world strong man however.

    Reply
  • Jon February 9, 2016, 11:09 am

    Has anybody stop to think that Trump may be nothing more than a democratic plant by Hillary. His purpose was to cause chaos within the republican party, which he clearly has done. He is the only republican candidate who has said Hillary would make a great president. He has spoken on behalf of abortion and his support of gun control. Think for a moment of everything Trump has said up to about a year ago. His views have always been in line with the liberal democrats. Yet within the last year he is suddenly a republican! Hmm, my BS detector is spiking. I will not tell anyone who I support, but this guy is truly the Manchurian candidate, and people are falling for it hook, line, and sinker.

    Reply
    • Lance February 19, 2016, 12:29 am

      True, I’ve been saying the same thing since trump started!

      Reply

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